U.S. Dollar

The Birth Pains of the Debt Crisis

If I had to guess, I’d say my readers are quite a bit above average in critical thinking. After all, to even consider the validity of gold as an investment, or to question government policies and propaganda, you have to think critically. So to be honest, I am not that concerned about my readers making it out of this crisis in decent shape. That being said, we must all face the facts. And…

Fakeout Moves Before the Gold Rally

I look for fakeout moves. For example, following the “fat finger” waterfall crash last year, there was a major rally. The spike rally in silver earlier in the year was a fakeout move in reverse. Sustained rallies and sell-offs tend to last longer than people expect, but eventually the opposite trend emerges. The market gets just enough people bulled or beared up before a suckerpunch move. This is what makes…

Government Stupidity Now Moving Markets

Gold up $70, the Nasdaq down 4%, the VIX up 20%: these are the effects of government stupidity. Our leaders, most notably President Obama, had a golden opportunity to inspire confidence in Americans by coming together on a debt deal that made sense. Instead, politicians confirmed  they are bungling buffoons that have no clue. This is not a drop in confidence, this is a collapse in confidence. There’s a difference….

Why Stocks Will Rally

Regular readers of this blog know that I like to take reasonable contrarian stances; I don’t go against the crowd for the sake of it.  That being said, I know people are turning bearish on the economy and stocks, especially with the current impasse on the debt ceiling issue. Although I’m bearish on stocks in the short to intermediate term, I’m very bullish long term (5-10 years). Let me briefly explain…

Why Stocks Won’t Crash

It seemed like only a week ago when permabears were predicting the appearance of a new bear market that would take out the lows of 2009. The variables all seemed to be there: Greek debt crisis, inflation from higher commodity prices, and worsening economic data in the U.S. Most economic observers believe these kind of variables lead to lower stock prices. As you can clearly see, this is not the…